EURO CLUB INDEX: Chance of Clásico final down to 43%

FOOTBALL - Last week’s Champions League semi-final first legs have unsurprisingly had a major effect on the chances of the Euro Club Index top two clubs of reaching this year’s Champions League final. The chance of May’s final being between FC Barcelona and Real Madrid has now reduced to 43%.

Both clubs are still favourites in their semi-final ties to reach the final in Munich on May 19 but their chances have reduced to 68.5% (Real Madrid) and 62.3% (Barcelona). There is still a high chance (77.2%) that one of the two Spanish clubs will end this season with the Champions League trophy in their cabinet but this is a little less than the 90+% chance there was before the first legs.

Due to the current standings in the two ties, ECI second ranked Real Madrid are now the favourites to win the Champions League (40.6%). FC Barcelona’s chance is 36.6%, Chelsea have a 12.2% chance. Bayern München have a  10.8% chance of lifting the trophy in their own stadium.

The Euro Club Index ranks all European clubs, calculates match odds and also odds of teams winning league championships. Find it on Twitter @EuroClubIndex