FOOTBALL - As a companion piece to the “Race to 38/68/87” piece which blogger James Grayson published on the Premier League yesterday, we have looked at the current Euro Club Index assessment of the competition.
FOOTBALL - The Premier League this season has already developed into a two horse race for the title between the two Manchester clubs. Judging from the clubs’ current ISG coefficients which compare their performance this season with last, this weekend’s Manchester derby could make a big difference to the current race but not in the way suggested by the league table.
FOOTBALL - QPR travel to Sunderland this evening with new manager Harry Redknapp in charge of the club for the first time. The Euro Club Index gives QPR 4% chance of avoiding relegation this season which means that they would be relegated in 24 out of every 25 seasons in which they found themselves in this position after 13 matches. In order to see what Redknapp’s QPR actually have to do to survive, our Head of Analysis Simon Gleave contacted analytical blogger James Grayson* to help out.
FOOTBALL - After Manchester City’s 2-2 draw with Ajax on matchday 4, the general assessment was that City’s poor performances in the Champions League are manager Roberto Mancini’s fault and he needs to be replaced. Similar things are being said today after City’s elimination from the Champions League.
FOOTBALL - Bayern Munich go into Saturday’s Champions League final as favourites but how big a favourite the club is depends on how we assess their supposed home advantage. Assuming that Bayern Munich enjoy a full home advantage, they have a 50% chance of winning in 90 minutes and a 63% chance of becoming Champions League winners this season. Chelsea’s chances are 24% for a 90 minute victory and 37% to win the Champions League.
FOOTBALL - Last week’s Champions League semi-final first legs have unsurprisingly had a major effect on the chances of the Euro Club Index top two clubs of reaching this year’s Champions League final. The chance of May’s final being between FC Barcelona and Real Madrid has now reduced to 43%.
FOOTBALL - The most crucial match of the season takes place in the Camp Nou on Saturday evening with the Euro Club Index top two clubs clashing in El Clásico. According to the match odds, FC Barcelona have a 54% chance of victory on Saturday, Real Madrid 22% and there is 24% chance of a draw. If Barcelona win, the race to the La Liga title will be wide open.
FOOTBALL - Manchester United’s defeat at Wigan Athletic coupled with Manchester City’s victory against West Bromwich Albion in the midweek matches have put a slight dent in United’s chances of winning the Premier League this season. Their odds on the Euro Club Index have reduced to 92.6% from the table we published on Monday with City’s rising to 7.4%.
The Euro Club Index (http://www.euroclubindex.com) gives Manchester United a 90% chance of winning this season’s Premier League title. It is the first time that a Premier League team’s chance has risen above the 90% mark this season after United’s biggest rivals Manchester City slipped up at the weekend by drawing at home to Sunderland.
FOOTBALL - One of the people helping us to regular Infographics has pointed out to us that there are three teams from the Euro Club Index Top 20 that are riding seven-match winning streaks in their domestic leagues. As championship races are heating up, find out here who those three teams are. They are ‘en fuego’.
FOOTBALL - Just recently, a debate arose on Twitter (@InfostradaLive) what Europe’s strongest league is. One of our followers took the Euro Club Index to see what the numbers say. Click below to read extensive analysis. Is it the Premier League? Click ‘Read more’ to find out.
FOOTBALL - On their native island of Cyprus, APOEL Nicosia were already the hottest commodity available, and this Friday, they will become everyone’s favourite in Europe. To be drawn as opponents in the Champions League quarterfinals, that is. How strong are the quarterfinalists of the 2011/2012 Champions League season in comparison to the previous years? To answer this question, Infostradalive.com has researched the rankings of the quarter finalists of the last five CL-seasons based on the Euro Club Index.
FOOTBALL - Benfica’s 3-2 defeat at Zenit St. Petersburg has made them favourites to advance to the Champions League quarterfinals. Our Euro Club Index estimates their chance of progress to the last eight at 50.5%.
FOOTBALL - Borussia Dortmund’s odds to retain their Bundesliga title have soared to nearly 85%, following their win against Mainz last weekend, whilst seeing rivals Bayern München stumble at Leverkusen. Just before Christmas, their odds were less than 15%. Click here for the progression.
FOOTBALL - This weekend’s 6-2 win by FC Twente over Dutch top flight leaders PSV turned the tables completely in the projections of the Euro Club Index for the Eredivisie. Click here to see how Twente’s title odds went from 24% to 52% and PSV’s from 61% to 28% in one fell swoop.
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