FOOTBALL – Germany are the favourites for the FIFA Women’s World Cup, but only just, according to a new analysis from Infostrada Sports. The United States are second favourites and there is nearly 50% chance of the winners being one or the other of these two teams. They are, however, most likely to meet each other at the semi-final stage of the competition.
Using the FIFA Women’s World Ranking as the basis, the Infostrada Sports’ analytics team has simulated the Women’s World Cup, which begins on Saturday, 6 June, 10,000 times with the most likely final being Germany against the host nation Canada. The United States and the surprise 2011 winners Japan are both forecast to reach the semi-finals. Germany’s chance of winning the competition is 24% whilst the US are a point behind on 23% but the most likely scenario is that the two favourites will meet in the semi-finals, therefore leaving a place in the final for one of the other participants, probably the reigning champions Japan or host nation Canada.
France are third favourites in Canada but are most likely to face world number one Germany as early as the quarter-finals so it is more likely that Japan or Canada will face either the Americans or Germany in the final on Sunday, 5 July.
Only eight of the 24 nations will be eliminated in the first round. Australia and Korea are the most favoured to go through in third place. Group C, headed by Japan, looks the least likely to provide a third place qualifier.