ANALYSE THIS: Germany lose number one spot, Dutch in freefall

FOOTBALL – Now that the dust has settled on the week’s international matches in Europe, a glance at the Infostrada Sports’ National Team Ranking reveals a few major changes since the World Cup  including Germany’s loss of the top spot to Argentina after losing at home to their World Cup final opponents and the Dutch national team dropping from third to ninth after two defeats. There is now just one European team, Germany, in the top five as Spain have dropped a place.

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ANALYSE THIS: Croatia Group H favourites ahead of Italy

FOOTBALL: Euro 2016 qualification begins this weekend and two of the top seeded teams in the draw, Bosnia-Herzegovina and Italy, are not the favourites to win their groups according to the Infostrada Sports’ National Team Ranking. Six of the nine groups have an overwhelming favourite to be group winner and only one of the groups looks truly competitive at this stage. We finish our analysis of the groups by looking at E to I. Our previous article analysing Groups A to D can be read here: https://infostradalive.com/2014/09/03/analyse-this-overwhelming-favourites-in-groups-a-to-d/

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ANALYSE THIS: The ‘Copa de Zebra’ revisited

FOOTBALL – As we reported earlier this week, the 2014 World Cup has been termed the ‘Copa de Zebra’ in Brazil where zebra refers to results being unexpected. Although six of the 16 teams who have progressed to the second round could be termed surprising, there have actually been very few surprise results in Brazil and 14 of the 16 survivors had at least around 40% chance of reaching this stage. The only truly surprising teams in the second round are Algeria and Costa Rica.

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ANALYSE THIS: Is World Cup 2014 really the ‘Copa de Zebra’?

FOOTBALL – In Brazil, this World Cup is being termed the ‘Copa de Zebra’ with zebra meaning unexpected results but the Infostrada Sports Forecast model shows that the number of genuine surprises in match results is actually fairly low with just six matches producing a result which had less than 30% chance of happening.

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ANALYSE THIS: What are this World Cup’s biggest shocks?

Football – The Infostrada Sports’ Forecast model has a variety of useful functions, one of which is to provide an objective measure of which matches have delivered the biggest shocks at the World Cup so far. Of the 24 matches played so far, the results of just six in terms of a team winning or failing to win have had less than 30% chance of happening according to our Forecast.

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